Can you get pregnant while experiencing mittelschmerz?

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I’m one of the 20% that experience lower back pain and stomach cramps during ovulation, which is called mittelschmerz. What I don’t understand is if this is pain in connection with the egg maturing or if it’s pain with the egg leaving? If I have sex during these ovulation pains, how likely is it that I’ll get pregnant?

Mittelschmerz can be caused by growing follicles in the ovaries (in the 5 or so days leading up to ovulation), by follicles rupturing (on the day of ovulation), or by free fluid irritation after a follicle ruptures (after ovulation lasting a day or two).
Now generally if you were getting mittelschmerz caused by the follicle rupturing, it would be a short stabbing pain on either your right or left ovary, rather than back and stomach cramps, which makes me think that yours is either caused by growing follicles, or by irritation from the free fluid released after ovulation.
Now If you have sex during mittelschmerz, and your mittelschmerz is caused by growing ovaries, than odds of pregnancy are quite high, around 20%. Now if your pain is caused by free fluid released after ovulation, then odds are much lower (5-10%), since the egg has already been released, and an egg can only survive a max of 24 hours after ovulation.
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